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Same here, but I understand their position. Meanwhile I rely on packages publishing builds for Intel Mac in GitHub (surprisingly a lot) or building from source code. I just asked AI to build me install system.

Yes, your article was noticed in my circle, but numbers was what was lacking

It is just "putting a wet phone in rice" of AI

Still you will not be able to give any existing example that lasted longer than 100 years. There are examples like Sayfawa dynasty which is counter-example to your claim about technology being multiplier


many autocracies in terms of social management systems lasted for many hundreds years.

Leaders of specific autocracies change, right (e.g. king got killed, but now we have new king), but governing structure persisted.


If you treat politics as a religion then you argue merits.

Most common people care for abundance and affluence. Any system that helps them arrive there is ok.


It would be interesting to get details what’s the process behind. Can you reproduce it on personal level?


It's just electrolysing water into hydrogen and then using the hydrogen in a Haber-Bosch reactor with nitrogen from the air to make ammonia. Electrolysis is easy enough to do on a small scale.

Fritz Haber initially demonstrated his process producing 125 milliliters per hour of ammonia in a "tabletop machine", so it's obviously technically possible. Typical process parameters are about 200 bars and 500 degrees C, so it's not trivial but also not outside of what a dedicated hobbyist could reach. I'm pretty sure it's not economically feasible at small scales though. Even the earliest industrial plants in the 1920s made 20 tons of ammonia per day. It will be vastly cheaper to just buy the stuff in bulk from a plant churning out hundreds of tons per day than it will be to make it yourself at a rate of 2 liters per day.

That said, go for it! A factory is just a room, and similarly a chemical reactor is basically just a steel drum.


On a smaller scale plasma electrolytic cells look more economical than Haber-Bosch but are still new tech. I don't remember the company trying to commercialize it but their target is on farm nitrate production.


you might be thinking of https://www.greenlightning.ag/ - seems really cool tech. combined with variable cheap power source like solar or wind, seems like a good way to give ai bit more control over inputs for farmers.


Same story in Lithuania


The Baltic states are a pretty odd mix, Estonia could be any western European country while Latvia next door still feels in places like the Red Army has only just pulled out. It was quite a jolt going from one to the other.

Mind you since we'd started from Russia both of them looked pretty good in comparison, that place was dire.


Dude has not been to Narva lol


Also economic inequality is quite differently shaped across ages

People over 60 are poor, 40..60 are a mixed bag, 20..40 are struggling to keep up.


I am disappointed that not all your comments are this line :D


That's a very insightful observation, highlighting the genuine tension between consistent messaging and quick, pithy responses on Hacker News.


i have a solid picture now, the honest answer is: you're absolutely right


I can guess at least one valid:

* preventing North Korea, China, Russian, Iran and etc. actors from accessing service. They absolutely use workarounds to access AI, e.g. I bet there are companies who are proxy between Anthropic and those countries.

I imagine there will be quite some false positives while identifying those.


This will do absolutely nothing to prevent those actors from accessing Claude... they already recruit young unemployed Americans to do proxy job interviews[0][1], etc. They'll just pay young unemployed Americans to do verification for them.

[0] https://www.tradingview.com/news/cointelegraph:6192f38e3094b...

[1] https://youtube.com/watch?v=QebpXFM1ha0


That sounds likely to increase their costs and create new opportunities to get caught. Not a silver bullet but not "absolutely nothing". Like how anti-money laundering laws don't wipe out all crime, but are still worthwhile.


If the API costs are gonna be thousands, or the subscription will be $20/month, is it really that expensive to pay some guy on Discord a $50 gift card to verify the account as a one-time setup? Better yet, we'll probably start seeing fake porn websites and other phishing sites that ask to verify your age but end up proxy verifying a bunch of these services in an automated manner with minimal costs, and you'll be able to buy verified Claude accounts for tens of cents on account marketplaces. Just as you have been able to buy verified Discord accounts, aged Steam accounts, etc...


I am a Chinese, and I can tell you definitively that it doesn't cost $50. It will only cost about $7 on the Chinese platform "Xianyu".


Get caught how? They don’t tell the person what they’re going to use the accounts for or who will use it. The star buyer patsy knows nothing.

On the scale of intelligence budgets this would be in the realm of petty cash.


They won't even need to do that. With enough time and money, they can certainly figure out how to not trigger the ID verification system.


Also, as many teenagers know, it's trivial to get a fake ID card.


I think you are right. Leadership vacuum will not resolve by itself: Iran either will go democratic way or into some internal fights (this one more probable IMHO).


Israel can do better, but Israel committing genocide is not the fact legally.


It is a fact factually, however.

I could witness a murder and the murderer committing murder would still not be a fact legally. It's still a fact.


Murder and genocide is not the same. Genocide has strict definition.


So does murder.


So what's your definition of genocide? Maybe we are discussing about different things.


The deliberate destruction of a group of people and its culture (completely or partially).

This fits the general description of what Israel has been up to in Palestine since 1948, but especially during the past few years.

Indiscriminate killing of civilians. Planned starvation. Poisoning wells. Denying Palestinians the right to return to their homeland. Forbidding the use of Palestinian cultural symbols. Denying Palestinians the right to fish/conduct business. Keeping them under curfew and surveilling their every move, making them as miserable as possible. Mass imprisonment. Denying Palestinians home-ownership.

Systematically destroying Palestinians and any chance for them to thrive/ found a state/ have human rights.


I see you have replied, but your comment has been marked as dead, so I cannot reply back.

You fed my comment to an AI and based your response on what it said. You said some of the claims were "incorrect".

Let's leave aside how ridiculous it is to fact-check with an LLM. if you go back and read what the AI actually generated, however, you will see that every claim has factual basis, the LLM just marked some as "narrow factual basis", for no particular reason. If it has been documented, it is fact, the LLM is just confused.

Every one of these, when done systematically (and they are) is a component of genocide. About half of them would be enough to constitute genocide on their own.

Displacing more than half of a population (as Israel has done TWICE in history) is definitely genocide.

If you are truly interested in educating yourself, you can start by reading the following wikipedia page (even just the intro):

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_genocide


Thank you, I will check the article


So why isn't what Israel doing genocide?


Genocide definition is: the deliberate, systematic destruction—in whole or in part—of a national, ethnical, racial, or religious group

Israel most probably did war crimes (white phosphorus usage seems to be confirmed, while IDF says they have not used it), but I don't think that Israeli has intention to destroy Palestinians. The have intention to destroy Hamas or Hezbollah.


1) Hezbollah is not Palestinian.

2) Israel has had genocidal plans for Palestinians since before Hamas existed (see the Nakba). In fact, Likud brought Hamas to power, because they saw them as a more fitting opponent than other groups (who were less militant).

3) Israeli politicians (not just current ones) have candidly stated they wish to destroy Palestine, Palestinians, and any chance for them to live in theur homeland

For gods sake, educate yourself. One easy thing to look up is a timeseries of deaths/year of Israelis due to Palestinian violence vs. deaths of Palestinians due to Israeli violence. That should do enough to dispel you of the idea that Palestinians are the terrorists in this case


In your opinion, which international entity do you regard as the final authority for the formal recognition of this legal fact?



So you would believe an authority of the UN. Considering the US has imposed sanctions on UN employees, do you see any conflict of interest there?


In this specific case it is something interesting to follow and to analyze. This will definitely have consequences on Russian-Ukrainian war too. UN overall is powerless - there are 7000+ UN peacekeepers in South Lebanon right now. What are they doing there?


I don't understand your point. You contested a fact "legally", but in your opinion the only authority that should have the final "legal" say in the matter is an impartial and weak one.


That's the best we have and it is better than random internet commenters who make judgement like they have a solid evidence of what's going on. Lastly depending on outcome this can be used for more fruitful discussions in the future.


It is not the best we have at all, and the choice is not between random internet commenters and the ICJ. You have the International Association of Genocide Scholars and a plethora of human rights associations.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_genocide#Academic_and_leg...

You are choosing who to listen to because you don't like what you are being told by everyone else.


"...is an ongoing case..."


Exactly


I don't see how anyone can defend Israel at this point. How?


Why not? There is at least theoretical chance to get some justice regarding Benjamin Netanyahu crimes if they are proved. As well Israel is democracy and can be changed. It is not like Russia where people don't have freedom of word.

What's your proposal and vision regarding Israel?


Well, considering that the odds of a person on Earth not being a descendant of Abraham is practically zero, why not give Israeli citizenship to everyone? Of course, with special protections for the Jewish people. Then, we can be done with the everlasting conflict.


No you make fun of me and that’s it.


I'm sorry that came across that way - I honestly wasn't trying to make fun of you.


Getting downvoted by all the emotional people here is not worth it; this thread does not welcome a polite discussion especially from the pro-Israel side. Like in any social media with a voting system (terrible idea, I might add), the vocal and active majority wants to disentivise the disagreement.


I don’t see any pro-Israel side commenter here but me at best. IMHO I do my best to keep discussion as polite as possible having in mind the sensitivity of the topic.


I probably wasn’t clear in the above comment - but what I tried to say is that the thread disincentivizes pro-Israel comments; I am pro-Israel as well and prefer not to engage.


We are all being civil here. Could you please stop insinuating otherwise.


"If it doesn't fit, you must acquit" followed closely by the bestseller "If I Did It: Confessions of the Genocider"


I guess this is sarcasm, but I don't even understand what you want to say.


The strict definition of the Geneva conventions does not include forced displacement but in some parts of the world that is included in the definition of. And legality is a matter of tribunal and none has been held so far.


You are mixing war crime and genocide IMHO.


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